Blog Archives

Bank of America Reports $9.1 Bln Loss in 2Q on Settlement !!!


Bank of America reported a loss of $9.1billion during the second quarter partly due to the $8.5 billion settlement with investors who claimed the bank had sold them poor-quality mortgage backed bonds. That settlement was announced in June.

The reported loss available to common shareholders was 90 cents per share.

Excluding charges related to investor settlements, Bank of America Corp. earned $3.7 billion, or 33 cents per share. That compares with net income of $3.1 billion, or 27 cents a share in the same quarter last year.

Analysts surveyed by FactSet had forecast Bank of America would report a loss of 85 cents per share.

Bank of America shares were up 23 cents in pre-market trading to $9.95

Mistakes !!!


Another mistake many investors make is that they allow themselves to be influenced by what other people think. I made this mistake myself when I was still learning how to trade. I became friends with a broker and opened an account with him. We played this game called “bust the other guy’s chops when his stock is down.” When I had a losing stock position, 1 was embarrassed to call him to sell the stock because I knew he would he would ride me about it. If a stock I bought was down 5 or 10 percent, and I thought I should get out of it, I found myself hoping it would recover so 1 wouldn’t have to call him to sell it while it was down. Before I knew it, the stock would be down 15 or 20 percent, and the more it fell, the harder it became for me to call. Eventually, I learned that you have to ignore what anybody else thinks.Many people approach investing too casually. They treat investing as a hobby instead of like a business; hobbies cost money. They also don’t take the time to do a post-trade analysis on their trades, eliminating the best teacher: their results. Most people prefer to forget about their failures instead of learning from them, which is a big mistake.

They let their egos get in the way. An investor may put in hours of careful research building a case for a company. He scours the company’s financial reports, checks Value Line, and may even try the company’s products. Then, soon after he buys the stock, his proud pick takes a price dive. He can’t believe it! He makes excuses for the stock’s decline. He calls his broker and searches the Internet, looking for any favorable opinions to justify his position. Meanwhile, he ignores the only opinion that counts: the verdict of the market. The stock keeps sliding, and his loss keeps mounting. Finally, he throws in the towel and feels completely demoralized – all because he didn’t want to admit he had made a mistake in timing.

Russell Napier: The Bear Market Bottom Will Be S&P 400 !!!


It is no secret that CLSA’s Russell Napier has not been a fan of QE2. As he pointed out in his recent prominent note, “whether equities will fall further depends on how flexible and successful the Fed’s next monetary package will be. Given the risk, investors are better off watching from the sidelines.” He further explained: “A risk to reflation would send equities sharply lower. The failure of QEII will undermine investor faith in a monetary solution. With equities near bubble valuations, based on cyclically adjusted PE, a failure to reflate risks major downside. The Fed will try again with a new package, but investors would do best by waiting to see how it plays out.” Since as of now we still don’t know when and if there even will be a package, here is Napier once again, interviewed by the FT’s Long View, presenting his updated views on the economy. His outlook, which we agree with entirely, is that first we will see another major deflationary shock, following which the Fed, already boxed in a corner, will have two choices: let major financial institutions fail, or proceed to monetize outright. Regardless of which outcome is picked, Napier’s target for the S&P, which just happens to coincide with that of Albert Edwards, is not pleasant for the bulls: 400 (or somewhere in that vicinity). And that will be the true generational buying bottom.

http://video.ft.com/v/946244201001/Long-View-Historian-sees-S-P-fall-to-400

(Full clip after the jump, with the key part starting 7:30 in)

Jim Rogers: Here’s The Most Important Thing On What Investors Should Do !!!


I would say one lesson we all need to learn is that after you’ve had a great success, you really should be very worried. Let’s say you sell and say you’ve made 10 times on your money. You should be extremely worried. You should close the curtains, not read, look at the TV, or anything because that’s when you’re full of hubris, arrogance, confidence. You think, “God, this is something easy,” and you’re desperate to jump around to something new. You should do your very best to avoid making another play until you’ve calmed down a lot. Just wait. It’s a very dangerous time for any investor.

Likewise, if you take a huge loss and there’s a big panic and things are dumped on your head because you’re overextended or wrong for whatever reason, calm down, don’t say, “I’m never gonna invest in stocks again or commodities or whatever.” That’s the time you really should be willing to invest again if you can gather together some capital money. The investments can be terribly emotional. You have to figure out a way to control your emotions and deal with your emotions if you’re going to survive in these markets.

My advice is that, most of the time, most investors should do nothing. They should look out the window or go to the beach. You should wait until you see money lying in the corner and all you have to do is go over and pick it up. That’s how most investors should invest. The problem is we all think we need to jump around all the time and be jumping in and out and that’s not good.

We think we have to have investments. No, we don’t. If I said you could only have 25 investments in your whole lifetime or if there was some way to limit you to 25, you would be extremely careful. You wouldn’t be jumping around doing all sorts of strange things. Patience is what most investors need to learn. You don’t have to be doing things all the time. Most of the time the best thing is to do nothing. You just sit with what you have as an investment and let it ride or sit and wait until you see someone sitting in the corner.

Most of the time – unless you’re a short-term trader and great at it. I’ve known some spectacular short-term traders. But for most investors, unless you’re one of those guys, then you should just do nothing. Do nothing. If you’re an investor, do nothing except re-examine what you have, and if you’re not investing, just continue to look until you find something.

Jim Rogers, via Stockhouse